Santa Clara 0-2 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.73
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
11%
6.16
X/2
12%
4.91
X/X
9%
3.96
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.43
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.70
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.7 Crosses 18.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.25 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 427
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 5-3 HT 3-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
05.01.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-4 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
28.02.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
20.11.2021 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 6-0 HT 3-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
26.09.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.02.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-2
AWAY Sporting Braga
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
150 Passes 489
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga beat Santa Clara 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Santa Clara had 29% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 71%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Clara and 2.83 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Sporting Braga?

Santa Clara 0-2 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 38%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5
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