Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-3 Elazığspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
42%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
42%
Away Win
56%
-14.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 60%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/2.03
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -67%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Elazığspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
19.03.2023 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-1 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3-1
15.10.2022 Elazığspor Elazığspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
2-3
AWAY Elazığspor
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Elazığspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor nicked a narrow win over Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu had 51% of the ball to Elazığspor's 49%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu and 1.00 for Elazığspor.

What was the final score of Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Elazığspor?

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-3 Elazığspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Elazığspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 25%, draw 33%, Elazığspor 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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