ES Metlaoui 2-1 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.28
Over 2.5
33%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
8.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.4pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
75%
-7.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
25%
+7.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.7pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
0.70/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.92
-27% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.11.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
17.09.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
03.06.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-3 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TNUSK
03.03.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1A
14.11.2021 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1A
07.04.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui nicked a narrow win over CS Sfaxien 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 36% — and on the day ES Metlaoui made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Sfaxien led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.50 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien?

ES Metlaoui 2-1 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 34%, draw 31%, CS Sfaxien 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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