Lusitania FC Lourosa vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-1 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics
UD Oliveirense edged past Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lusitania FC Lourosa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 34% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 66%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.89 to 1.95.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs UD Oliveirense?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-1 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs UD Oliveirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 50%, draw 23%, UD Oliveirense 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.