Hearts vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 3-2 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts edged past Dundee FC 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
By the numbers, possession split 67% to 33% in Hearts's favour, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.21 to 0.69 — on chances created, Hearts won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hearts against 1.33 for Dundee FC.
Hearts vs Dundee FC Result & Final Score
Hearts 3 - 2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs Dundee FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hearts 53%, draw 26%, Dundee FC 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.