Caucaia vs Barbalha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caucaia v Barbalha — Team-Based Signals
Caucaia vs Barbalha Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Caucaia 2-1 Barbalha — Actual Match Statistics
Caucaia squeezed past Barbalha 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Barbalha at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Caucaia had 50% of the ball to Barbalha's 50%, shots finished 10-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caucaia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Caucaia and 0.00 for Barbalha.
What was the final score of Caucaia vs Barbalha?
Caucaia 2-1 Barbalha in the Brazil - Cearense 1 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caucaia vs Barbalha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barbalha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caucaia 35%, draw 20%, Barbalha 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Barbalha), BTTS No went the other way.