Coritiba vs Independiente FSJ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Independiente FSJ — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Independiente FSJ Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Coritiba 2-0 Independiente FSJ — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba saw off Independiente FSJ 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Coritiba had 57% of the ball to Independiente FSJ's 43%, shots finished 18-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Coritiba and 0.50 for Independiente FSJ.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Independiente FSJ?
Coritiba 2-0 Independiente FSJ in the Brazil - Paranaense 1 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Independiente FSJ?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 45%, draw 30%, Independiente FSJ 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.