ES Ben Aknoun 1-2 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.46
6+ Goals
6%
51.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 49%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.82
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
1-2
AWAY USM Alger
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger nicked a narrow win over ES Ben Aknoun 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 38% of the ball to USM Alger's 62%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?

ES Ben Aknoun 1-2 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 24%, draw 31%, USM Alger 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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