Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 23 Jan 2024

Dinamo Zagreb
0-3 HT 0-2
Lokomotiva Zagreb
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.07
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 33% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
75%
-18.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.0pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Zagreb v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.78/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.64
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +2%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 69%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.9 Crosses 15.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
451 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
01.03.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
28.01.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.09.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
15.07.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR

Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
0-3
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.49 xG 0.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 1
425 Passes 195
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
57 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb ran out comfortable winners over Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Zagreb carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 65% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 35%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.49 to 0.43 — on chances, Dinamo Zagreb could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.17 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 57%, draw 25%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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