Kiyovu Sports 3-1 Gorilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - Barış Cup, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
50%
+7.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.5pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiyovu Sports The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorilla The Market 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiyovu Sports
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gorilla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.10.2023 Kiyovu Sports Kiyovu Sports 1-0 HT 1-0 Gorilla RUA
POST-MATCH Kiyovu Sports vs Gorilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiyovu Sports got the better of Gorilla 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kiyovu Sports as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kiyovu Sports vs Gorilla?

Kiyovu Sports 3-1 Gorilla in the Ruanda - Barış Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiyovu Sports vs Gorilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kiyovu Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kiyovu Sports 58%, draw 22%, Gorilla 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kiyovu Sports) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kiyovu Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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