23/01/2024
·
23:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Juvenes / Dogana vs Domagnano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
53%
21%
Draw
25%
39%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juvenes / Dogana v Domagnano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Juvenes / Dogana
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Domagnano
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
437 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
221 · 66%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Juvenes / Dogana vs Domagnano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Juvenes / Dogana squeezed past Domagnano 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Juvenes / Dogana found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Juvenes / Dogana vs Domagnano?
Juvenes / Dogana 1-0 Domagnano in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juvenes / Dogana vs Domagnano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juvenes / Dogana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juvenes / Dogana 40%, draw 21%, Domagnano 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juvenes / Dogana), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Juvenes / Dogana)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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