23/01/2024
·
15:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Arar vs Jerash FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No Pick
64%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
61%
23%
Draw
20%
30%
Away Win
19%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arar v Jerash FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Arar
The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jerash FC
The Market 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
442 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
238 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Arar vs Jerash FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arar and Jerash FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Arar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Arar vs Jerash FC?
Arar 1-1 Jerash FC in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arar vs Jerash FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arar 47%, draw 23%, Jerash FC 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arar), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Arar)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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