Boca Juniors 5-0 Argentino Monte Maíz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.22
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
44%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Boca Juniors win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
78%
-20.0pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.1pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentino Monte Maíz The Market 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.61/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
5-0
AWAY Argentino Monte Maíz
5.36 xG 0.05
74% Ball Possession 26%
24 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
570 Passes 136
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
42 Box Touches 0
24 Crosses 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Argentino Monte Maíz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors cruised past Argentino Monte Maíz 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 74% of the ball to Argentino Monte Maíz's 26%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 5.36 to 0.05.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Argentino Monte Maíz?

Boca Juniors 5-0 Argentino Monte Maíz in the Argentina - Cup on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Argentino Monte Maíz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 58%, draw 24%, Argentino Monte Maíz 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Over 2.5
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