Al Urooba 1-2 Dibba Al Hisn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dibba Al Hisn EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 85%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Dibba Al Hisn
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
4 Corners 3
26.01.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-1 HT 2-1 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn BAE2
09.09.2023 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
19.02.2023 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-3 HT 1-0 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn BAE2
09.10.2022 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Urooba
1-2
AWAY Dibba Al Hisn
1.98 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
262 Passes 197
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Dibba Al Hisn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dibba Al Hisn squeezed past Al Urooba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dibba Al Hisn as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Urooba had 55% of the ball to Dibba Al Hisn's 45%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.98 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Urooba.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Urooba had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Al Urooba and 1.25 for Dibba Al Hisn.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Dibba Al Hisn?

Al Urooba 1-2 Dibba Al Hisn in the UAE - League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Dibba Al Hisn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dibba Al Hisn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 29%, draw 26%, Dibba Al Hisn 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dibba Al Hisn), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dibba Al Hisn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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