Arba Minch Kenema 2-1 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 23 Jan 2025

Arba Minch Kenema
2-1 HT 0-1
Welayta Dicha
📅23/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Etiyopya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.7
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.54
Over
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+7.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-7.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arba Minch Kenema v Welayta Dicha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha The Market 31%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.46
+94% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Arba Minch Kenema 2-1 Welayta Dicha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
2-1
AWAY Welayta Dicha
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema edged past Welayta Dicha 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Arba Minch Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 51% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 49%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Arba Minch Kenema 2-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 39%, draw 28%, Welayta Dicha 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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