Vietnam U23 2-2 Güney Kore U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 23 Jan 2026

Vietnam U23
2-2 HT 1-0
Güney Kore U23
📅23/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

Vietnam U23 vs Güney Kore U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vietnam U23 v Güney Kore U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vietnam U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
+71% / +71% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.25
+106% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Vietnam U23 vs Güney Kore U23 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vietnam U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Güney Kore U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 2.34
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
160 Passes 509
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.06.2022 Vietnam U23 Vietnam U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 AFCU23
11.01.2018 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 2-1 HT 1-1 Vietnam U23 Vietnam U23 AFCU23

Vietnam U23 2-2 Güney Kore U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vietnam U23
2-2
AWAY Güney Kore U23
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 15
0 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Vietnam U23 vs Güney Kore U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vietnam U23 and Güney Kore U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Güney Kore U23 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vietnam U23 had 27% of the ball to Güney Kore U23's 73%, shots finished 5-29.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Güney Kore U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vietnam U23 and 1.50 for Güney Kore U23.

What was the final score of Vietnam U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Vietnam U23 2-2 Güney Kore U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vietnam U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vietnam U23 18%, draw 27%, Güney Kore U23 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Güney Kore U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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