Mamelodi Sundowns 2-2 Al Hilal Omdurman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 23 Jan 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns
2-2 HT 1-1
Al Hilal Omdurman
📅23/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Hilal Omdurman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v Al Hilal Omdurman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.14/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.00
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
10.8 Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Hilal Omdurman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 1.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
396 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL
11.02.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
19.03.2022 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 2-4 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL
11.02.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
02.04.2021 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL
13.02.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-2 Al Hilal Omdurman — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-2
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
1.11 xG 0.56
78% Ball Possession 22%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
533 Passes 105
90% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Hilal Omdurman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns and Al Hilal Omdurman shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mamelodi Sundowns at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 78% of the ball to Al Hilal Omdurman's 22%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.11 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.50 for Al Hilal Omdurman.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-2 Al Hilal Omdurman in the CAF Champions League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 65%, draw 23%, Al Hilal Omdurman 12%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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