Municipal 1-2 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.29
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
8%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
73%
+1.8pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
8%
Away Win
10%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.24/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.33
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Mictlan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2025 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 1-0 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
07.12.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
07.11.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
01.09.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mictlan edged past Municipal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Municipal at 75% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 0.00 for Mictlan.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mictlan?

Municipal 1-2 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Municipal 75%, draw 17%, Mictlan 8%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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