Partick Thistle 1-3 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
11%
4.07
X/2
7%
10.05
X/X
12%
5.92
2/1
6%
20.95
2/2
16%
7.15
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.90/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.28
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
11.5 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.46 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
30.09.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
23.04.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
22.03.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 4-1 HT 3-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
26.11.2021 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Partick Thistle
1-3
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic beat Partick Thistle 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Partick Thistle at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Partick Thistle had 50% of the ball to Dunfermline Athletic's 50%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.00 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Partick Thistle 1-3 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 45%, draw 27%, Dunfermline Athletic 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partick Thistle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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