Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
17%
3.67
X/2
10%
10.8
X/X
15%
4.53
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
5%
9.43
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
17.4
Value flag · 2/X at 17.4 — our 9% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.71/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.43
+28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.6 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
422 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTK
18.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.04.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
22.12.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna HAZ
21.08.2022 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
21.01.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
2-0
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.59 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
372 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna beat Hellas Verona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Bologna had 58% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 42%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.59 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bologna and 0.83 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bologna 49%, draw 31%, Hellas Verona 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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