Cosenza Calcio 1-2 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Feb 2024

Cosenza Calcio
1-2 HT 0-2
Sampdoria
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
17%
5.51
X/X
16%
3.84
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
10%
4.07
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Cosenza Calcio win — 35%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.8 Crosses 20.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 2.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
02.03.2003 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-3 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
28.09.2002 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
18.01.2002 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
02.09.2001 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
11.12.2000 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB

Cosenza Calcio 1-2 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-2
AWAY Sampdoria
1.76 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 0
421 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sampdoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 60% of the ball to Sampdoria's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.96 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.50 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria?

Cosenza Calcio 1-2 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 35%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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