Afturelding 3-3 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 23 Feb 2024

Afturelding
3-3 HT 2-2
Leiknir Reykjavik
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
46%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.24
No
35%
3.59
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
45%
-13.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
33%
+13.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
76%
-11.6pp
35%
BTTS No
24%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afturelding v Leiknir Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
20.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
26.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
23.06.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
09.03.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
26.09.2020 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and Leiknir Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Leiknir Reykjavik at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Afturelding and 2.17 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Afturelding 3-3 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 31%, draw 23%, Leiknir Reykjavik 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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