Modbury Jets 2-3 Para Hills Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.60
+58% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modbury Jets
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Para Hills Knights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
17.10.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 3-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
POST-MATCH Modbury Jets vs Para Hills Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Para Hills Knights squeezed past Modbury Jets 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Modbury Jets carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Modbury Jets vs Para Hills Knights?

Modbury Jets 2-3 Para Hills Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modbury Jets vs Para Hills Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Modbury Jets 55%, draw 21%, Para Hills Knights 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modbury Jets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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