Floreat Athena 2-4 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West Gece Serisi, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.7pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floreat Athena
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 2-2 HT 0-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
02.06.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-3 HT 1-2 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
25.06.2022 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 4-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
01.04.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-3 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
26.06.2021 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 0-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
27.03.2021 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 0-4 HT 0-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVUSB
POST-MATCH Floreat Athena vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory II beat Floreat Athena 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Floreat Athena at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floreat Athena had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Floreat Athena and 1.00 for Perth Glory II.

What was the final score of Floreat Athena vs Perth Glory II?

Floreat Athena 2-4 Perth Glory II in the Australia - NPL West Gece Serisi on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floreat Athena vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floreat Athena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Floreat Athena 41%, draw 33%, Perth Glory II 26%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Floreat Athena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floreat Athena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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