Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Feb 2024

Sporting Charleroi
0-1 HT 0-0
Genk
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Sporting Charleroi vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.3
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
11%
7.36
X/2
20%
4.54
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.68
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.28/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.46
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.5 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sporting Charleroi vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Genk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 2.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
296 Passes 427
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.04.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2 HT 1-2 Genk Genk BEL
04.11.2022 Genk Genk 4-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
10.05.2022 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.05.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
16.12.2021 Genk Genk 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL

Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-1
AWAY Genk
0.38 xG 1.24
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
178 Passes 439
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk edged past Sporting Charleroi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 35% of the ball to Genk's 65%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.38 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Genk?

Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 27%, draw 26%, Genk 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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