Bdin Vidin 0-1 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 2nd Division, 23 Feb 2024

Bdin Vidin
0-1
Spartak Varna
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Bulgaria - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Bdin Vidin vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
50%
4-5
12%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
20%
Draw
28%
-8.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bdin Vidin v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bdin Vidin The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna The Market 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-12% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bdin Vidin vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna squeezed past Bdin Vidin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bdin Vidin at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Bdin Vidin vs Spartak Varna?

Bdin Vidin 0-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 2nd Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bdin Vidin vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bdin Vidin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bdin Vidin 49%, draw 20%, Spartak Varna 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bdin Vidin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bdin Vidin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →