Jarun 2-2 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 27%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-100% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
2-2
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Bijelo Brdo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 59% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 41%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Jarun 2-2 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jarun 40%, draw 30%, Bijelo Brdo 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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