23/02/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
24%
Draw
26%
38%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
424 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Quwa Al Jawiya swept aside Al-Qasim 3-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Quwa Al Jawiya found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3-0 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38%, draw 24%, Al-Qasim 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
23 Feb 2024