Larne FC 3-0 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
10%
6.72
X/X
17%
4.27
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.23
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.19
-6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Glentoran FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
11.08.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
28.10.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
12.08.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Larne FC
3-0
AWAY Glentoran FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC cruised past Glentoran FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Larne FC had 47% of the ball to Glentoran FC's 53%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Larne FC and 1.00 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Glentoran FC?

Larne FC 3-0 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 41%, draw 33%, Glentoran FC 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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