Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-5 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 36% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.81/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.66
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +105%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
11.5 Crosses 24.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
3-5
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.26 xG 2.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
373 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra beat Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 58% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 42%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.26 to 2.54.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-5 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 25%, draw 33%, Ceramica Cleopatra 42%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →