Victoria Hamburg 4-1 Alsterbrüder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
17%
3.35
Away
39%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
18%
Draw
27%
-9.1pp
39%
Away Win
22%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Victoria Hamburg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alsterbrüder EU Bookmakers 25%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Victoria Hamburg
4-1
AWAY Alsterbrüder
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Victoria Hamburg vs Alsterbrüder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Victoria Hamburg swept aside Alsterbrüder 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (44% / 18% / 39%) promised a tight game; Victoria Hamburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Victoria Hamburg had 67% of the ball to Alsterbrüder's 33%, shots finished 22-3.

What was the final score of Victoria Hamburg vs Alsterbrüder?

Victoria Hamburg 4-1 Alsterbrüder in the Germany - Oberliga on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Victoria Hamburg vs Alsterbrüder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Victoria Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Victoria Hamburg 44%, draw 18%, Alsterbrüder 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Victoria Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Victoria Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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