Sport Huancayo 4-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.6pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.93
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
24.1 Crosses 10.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.71 xG 1.94
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
399 Passes 216
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-2 HT 3-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
15.10.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
30.05.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 4-1 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
24.07.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
02.10.2017 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
02.07.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-3 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
4-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.33 xG 0.10
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
420 Passes 216
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Atletico 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sport Huancayo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 63% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 37%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.33 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.50 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico?

Sport Huancayo 4-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 57%, draw 28%, Alianza Atletico 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Huancayo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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