Pogon Szczecin 4-2 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.85
X/1
22%
3.67
X/2
5%
15.35
X/X
9%
7.5
2/1
6%
20.4
2/2
6%
11.15
2/X
10%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -25%
2.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.64
+10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
27.1 Crosses 15.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.15 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
21.02.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
15.09.2019 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
4-2
AWAY Lodzki KS
2.04 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
372 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin beat Lodzki KS 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 52% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 48%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.04 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 0.33 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Lodzki KS?

Pogon Szczecin 4-2 Lodzki KS in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 58%, draw 24%, Lodzki KS 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
23 Feb 2024
20:00 Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Analysis →