Samsunspor 3-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.18
X/2
8%
8.58
X/X
14%
5.14
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
11%
6.38
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.61/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.60
+29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.3 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.03.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
11.09.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.12.2019 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
05.12.2019 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 3-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
03.03.2018 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
3-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.54 xG 0.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
245 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor ran out comfortable winners over Çaykur Rizespor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samsunspor had 45% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 55%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.54 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samsunspor and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Samsunspor 3-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 47%, draw 28%, Çaykur Rizespor 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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