CA River Plate 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.01/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.67
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.03.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
02.10.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
08.05.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
25.09.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
30.05.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate saw off Deportivo Maldonado 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA River Plate as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CA River Plate had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 0.83 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Deportivo Maldonado?

CA River Plate 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 42%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maldonado 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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