Thanh Hoa 3-2 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.23
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 0-3 HT 0-2 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
02.07.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
14.10.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
06.03.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
08.04.2021 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 3-0 HT 2-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
20.10.2020 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa squeezed past Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thanh Hoa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thanh Hoa and 0.83 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Thanh Hoa 3-2 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 42%, draw 31%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thanh Hoa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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