Portuguesa FC 1-1 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.10/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.74
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
208 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
24.3 Crosses 13.8
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.31 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
278 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
26.10.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-0 HT 2-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
13.08.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
21.10.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
07.10.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.07.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.23 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
282 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC and Deportivo Tachira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Tachira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.00 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Tachira?

Portuguesa FC 1-1 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 28%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →