Shanghai Port 3-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
17%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.7
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.1
X/1
20%
3.95
X/2
6%
13.65
X/X
9%
6.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.4
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
6%
19.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.58
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.6 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.73 xG 0.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
416 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-6 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
16.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
22.04.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-2 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
13.11.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
16.08.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
3-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.61 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
452 Passes 315
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port saw off Shenzhen FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 56% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 44%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.61 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Shanghai Port and 0.50 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen FC?

Shanghai Port 3-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 60%, draw 21%, Shenzhen FC 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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