Cacereno 3-1 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.25
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tenerife II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
13.10.2024 Tenerife II Tenerife II 4-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
3-1
AWAY Tenerife II
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno got the better of Tenerife II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 44% of the ball to Tenerife II's 56%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Tenerife II?

Cacereno 3-1 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 46%, draw 28%, Tenerife II 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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