KR Reykjavik 4-1 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 23 Feb 2025

KR Reykjavik
4-1
UMF Selfoss
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2026

KR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.7
No
37%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.8pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
55%
+7.7pp
37%
BTTS No
45%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KR Reykjavik v UMF Selfoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.55/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/3.37
+36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
538 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

KR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-1D-2L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.04.2015 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
02.09.2012 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
16.06.2012 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL
25.07.2010 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-3 HT 0-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
16.05.2010 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik cruised past UMF Selfoss 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.00 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

KR Reykjavik 4-1 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - League Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 66%, draw 19%, UMF Selfoss 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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