Seongnam 2-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
11%
19.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.02 — our 24% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.9 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-0
AWAY Hwaseong
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
195 Passes 300
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam got the better of Hwaseong 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Seongnam found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seongnam had 36% of the ball to Hwaseong's 64%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Hwaseong?

Seongnam 2-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 33%, draw 28%, Hwaseong 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hwaseong), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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