Kosta Rika (K) 1-1 Yeni Zelanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
29%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.88
No
65%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+12.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
29%
Away Win
48%
-19.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
49%
-14.5pp
65%
BTTS No
51%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
0.63/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.77
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
8.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
7.2 Crosses 23.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika (K)
1-1
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
1.53 xG 0.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
164 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosta Rika (K) and Yeni Zelanda (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Kosta Rika (K) had 39% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda (K)'s 61%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Kosta Rika (K) 1-1 Yeni Zelanda (K) in the Friendlies on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika (K) 38%, draw 33%, Yeni Zelanda (K) 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kosta Rika (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kosta Rika (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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