Kolombiya (K) 1-4 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 23 Feb 2025

Kolombiya (K)
1-4 HT 1-2
Japonya (K)
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
SheBelieves Cup – 2025

Kolombiya (K) vs Japonya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolombiya (K) v Japonya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
175 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kolombiya (K) 1-4 Japonya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya (K)
1-4
AWAY Japonya (K)
0.54 xG 1.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
317 Passes 512
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kolombiya (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) cruised past Kolombiya (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kolombiya (K) had 40% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 60%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.89.

What was the final score of Kolombiya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Kolombiya (K) 1-4 Japonya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya (K) 27%, draw 28%, Japonya (K) 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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