23/02/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Moknine vs Oued Ellil Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
20%
Draw
28%
23%
Away Win
19%
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
62%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moknine v Oued Ellil — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Moknine
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Oued Ellil
EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
0.83/0.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.77/1.33
-40%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
-5%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
374 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
225 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Moknine vs Oued Ellil Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Moknine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Oued Ellil
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Moknine vs Oued Ellil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Moknine squeezed past Oued Ellil 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moknine as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Moknine vs Oued Ellil?
Moknine 2-1 Oued Ellil in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moknine vs Oued Ellil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Moknine win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Moknine 57%, draw 20%, Oued Ellil 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moknine) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Moknine)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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TUN2
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23 Feb 2025