Academia Anzoátegui 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.0pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Anzoátegui EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 33%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
2.34/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
+130% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
6.5 Crosses 17.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Anzoátegui
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.62 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Academia Anzoátegui 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Anzoátegui at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Academia Anzoátegui had 47% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 53%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.62 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Academia Anzoátegui 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Anzoátegui win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Academia Anzoátegui 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academia Anzoátegui) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Anzoátegui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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