Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.9pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.03/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.06
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
217 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
05.10.2025 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
31.05.2025 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
30.09.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
21.05.2023 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 3-0 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
12.06.2022 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
23.10.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 5-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Mitre vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Mitre squeezed past Estudiantes Caseros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Club Atletico Mitre made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Mitre had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Atletico Mitre and 1.33 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Mitre vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Mitre vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Mitre 35%, draw 35%, Estudiantes Caseros 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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