Sivasspor 4-1 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.07
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sivasspor The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.99
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
28 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.47 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
312 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-3 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
11.02.2007 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
20.08.2006 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TSL
29.07.2006 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-3 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor CUMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
4 - 1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.44 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Sivasspor vs Sakaryaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sivasspor dismantled Sakaryaspor 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (55%) landed.

On the day, Sivasspor had 55% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 45%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.44 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sivasspor and 1.50 for Sakaryaspor.

Sivasspor vs Sakaryaspor Result & Final Score

Sivasspor 4 - 1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sivasspor vs Sakaryaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 61%, draw 22%, Sakaryaspor 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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