23/03/2024
·
12:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Benesov vs Letohrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
14%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
32%
30%
Draw
31%
38%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benesov v Letohrad — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Benesov
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Letohrad
The Market 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-45% /
-45%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-11%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
226 · 67%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Benesov vs Letohrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Benesov cruised past Letohrad 3-0.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Benesov found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Benesov vs Letohrad?
Benesov 3-0 Letohrad in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benesov vs Letohrad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Letohrad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benesov 32%, draw 30%, Letohrad 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Letohrad), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Letohrad)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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23 Mar 2024