23/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Ostrov vs Ujezd Praha 4 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
30%
Draw
28%
37%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ostrov v Ujezd Praha 4 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ostrov
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ujezd Praha 4
The Market 43%
+51% /
+51%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+28%
/
+85%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
290 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
404 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ostrov vs Ujezd Praha 4 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ostrov
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Ujezd Praha 4
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
6
11
Corners
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ostrov vs Ujezd Praha 4
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ostrov and Ujezd Praha 4 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ostrov vs Ujezd Praha 4?
Ostrov 2-2 Ujezd Praha 4 in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ostrov vs Ujezd Praha 4?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ujezd Praha 4 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ostrov 33%, draw 30%, Ujezd Praha 4 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Ujezd Praha 4)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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23 Mar 2024