Madrid II (K) 2-1 Atletico Madrid II (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.27
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
40%
-12.6pp
38%
Draw
27%
+11.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid II (K) The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II (K) The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid II (K)
2-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Madrid II (K) vs Atletico Madrid II (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid II (K) edged past Atletico Madrid II (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 38% / 34% — and on the day Madrid II (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Madrid II (K) had 43% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II (K)'s 57%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of Madrid II (K) vs Atletico Madrid II (K)?

Madrid II (K) 2-1 Atletico Madrid II (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid II (K) vs Atletico Madrid II (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Madrid II (K) 27%, draw 38%, Atletico Madrid II (K) 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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